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🇺🇸Trump Lead Over Biden Widens: Cable FX Macro

  • The implied probability of a Trump win in the November 2024 election has increased, according to data from PredictIt. This has widened the gap over Biden to the largest in the period heading into the election

  • Despite the recent Trump criminal conviction, betting odds show Biden's probability to get re-elected has declined, which is consistent with the trend over the last couple of months

  • Alternative data from RCP shows an even wider gap favoring President Trump



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