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Writer's pictureRosbel Durán

🇺🇸💱Rand, EUFX Underperform The Most Prior to U.S. Election: Cable FX Macro

  • We're heading into a full week (or 5 sessions) of trading following the U.S. election, the results favoring President Trump and a republican senate have been filtering into currency prices. We're yet to see if the House is taken by the Republican Party, which is likely to support bullish dollar views further.

  • Since the Tuesday results, the dollar has traded higher, our measure of the dollar is rebounding on Monday session. However, we're noting a few exceptions to dollar strength below.

  • The most hit currencies are found in the EMEA space, the euro is following the weakness down 2.6% since the election. Euro parity option activity and analyst desk chatter has increased since Wednesday AsiaPac session. A proxy for U.S. Trump odds, the Mexican peso, is recording losses, but these have remained relatively contained.



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